I am Kyle's self-indulgence

If this site has any validity, then Kerry may have a stronger shot at winning the election than Bush. That's a big IF, though. Offering a more complex picture than the red state/blue state/swing state analysis, the site ranks states in gradations of support, including "weak Kerry" and "barely Kerry" to show how these swing states may go. If you look at the actual statistics, Missouri (classified as "barely Kerry") reports 49% in favor of Bush and 48% in favor of Kerry. If you factor in a margin of error, I'm guessing that can still go either way. Still, it's interesting to look at how these states may vote. It will also be interesting to see how these numbers change as the election draws near.